{"uid":"cap_fG0UKIQL3mjL4Rge67HhT","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7ee85ea0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__8iLwq664DLpAuMz7ntaZ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for the FOMC cutting interest rates at their next meeting, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds tracker","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting interest rates at their next FOMC meeting — I want to see the implied Yes/No probabilities, current volume, and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that a spot Ethereum ETF gets approved this quarter? Give me the full orderbook sentiment and volume."},{"title":"US election outcome market pulse","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election — I want Yes/No odds and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position activity.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or null result","Polymarket API rate limit or outage causes upstream failure","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) due to insufficient USDC balance or x402 misconfiguration","Malformed or missing topic parameter returns validation error","Market may be resolved or expired, returning stale or unavailable data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction markets, especially when you want orderbook depth and whale sentiment in addition to raw odds. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment tools when you want market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:46:51.697Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}