{"uid":"cap_f629U2bA5j2pcOFcQ1J-L","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-08fb402f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_fJWRZMVP2Hbu1hDnrLJ8L","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the next FOMC rate decision — include trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds lookup","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed cuts rates at the next FOMC meeting? I want the Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale positioning data."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for a Bitcoin ETF approval — I want to see the implied probabilities, recent volume, and whether big traders are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market query","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting on for an AI regulation bill passing this year? Give me the Yes/No implied odds and current volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or error response","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — may return results for the wrong event","Payment not settled via x402 — endpoint returns HTTP 402 before data is served","Malformed or missing topic field — returns validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is the right choice when you want market-implied odds (not analyst forecasts), whale sentiment, or trading volume as a signal. Prefer this over news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-committed crowd forecasts rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:02.023Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}