{"uid":"cap_eu-8Jrn2AkmkmBL8Ty-rD","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-abcd4adf","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_NJreDWxtF5fJurHOwy-8-","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'FOMC rate cut in July'? I want to see volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for the FOMC rate cut decision this month — I want to see the implied Yes and No probabilities and any large whale activity."},{"title":"Bitcoin ETF approval market odds","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that a spot Bitcoin ETF gets approved in the next 90 days? Show me volume and orderbook sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation event prediction odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest prediction market odds on whether the EU AI Act will be enforced this year — give me the Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-results response","Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or 5xx error","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 response requiring x402 USDC payment","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or best-match data","Market has resolved or expired — returns stale or historical data rather than live odds"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced implied probabilities and orderbook sentiment from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-priced probability estimates rather than editorial opinion, and over general financial data APIs when the question is event-based rather than asset-price-based.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:25.335Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}