{"uid":"cap_eoJo_E-02sQejMQOPHV1y","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-bc5ea596","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_1b1WmNV2ll1mlhXDbZYhp","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the US 2024 election right now — give me the Yes/No percentages, volume, and how whales are positioning?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election odds before major vote","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and what whale traders are betting on right now."},{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Bitcoin ETF being approved this quarter? Give me the current implied odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket's live prediction market for a Federal Reserve rate cut in Q1 — what are the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is behind this market?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators. The response reflects real-time market consensus and positioning by large traders on the specified event or question.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — no matching active market returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — agent may need to refine the query","Payment required error (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not properly handled","Rate limiting or service unavailability returns error response","Stale data if Polymarket feed is temporarily delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money on the line. Prefer this over news sentiment or LLM-based probability estimates when you want market-implied odds with volume and whale positioning signals. Ideal for trading bots, research agents, or decision-support systems that need live prediction market data without building a Polymarket integration themselves.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:33:55.981Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}