{"uid":"cap_ei6Vh7LJdvuT7ym0i0GGK","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0915ea41","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_m8Dfp4smxRhZ9ZN3K3VQm","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include trading volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently give as the odds for the Democratic candidate winning the 2026 midterms? I want the implied Yes probability and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $150k before the end of 2025, including current trading volume and the implied Yes/No probabilities."},{"title":"AI regulation event probability","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the EU AI Act enforcement triggers a major fine against a US company this year? Show me the orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket market — endpoint may return empty or low-confidence results","Payment failure via x402 protocol results in 402 response and no data returned","Polymarket API upstream downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets with conflicting odds","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook depth, and whale sentiment rather than traditional news or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news APIs or financial data feeds when the question is forward-looking and market-priced.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:00.044Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}