{"uid":"cap_eg7z-yf77IcECvkb6AZA8","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-40ec6bf8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_xLTIz0zxwH7TkasGWkwSi","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and whale sentiment for Bitcoin reaching $150k this year — pull the current Yes/No implied probabilities and volume.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the Yes/No odds and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction market","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied Yes probability and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on the Solana spot ETF getting approved this year? Show me the Yes/No split and whether whales are buying Yes or No."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, orderbook depth, and whale sentiment signals indicating large-participant positioning on macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic too vague or unrecognized — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or error result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch fails","Topic string too short or blank — rejected by input validation (minLength:1)","Network timeout fetching live orderbook data","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return top result or require refinement"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and market-implied odds for macro, crypto, or AI events, especially when you want whale sentiment and orderbook depth in addition to simple price quotes. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media scrapers when you need financially-weighted probability signals from actual prediction market participants.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:12.811Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}