{"uid":"cap_efF9tHBvkqZtAHQV3K9U6","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-43a8e1af","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Qg9JxeAIXyKPmd704l7d8","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US entering a recession this year, including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Trump winning the 2024 presidential election — give me the Yes/No implied odds, volume, and whale sentiment?"},{"title":"Crypto price target market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket implied probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year, including orderbook volume and any large-trader sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act will be fully enforced by Q1 next year? I want the Yes probability, No probability, and volume figures."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causes delayed or failed data fetch","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple unrelated markets, returning mixed or irrelevant results","Payment failure via x402 protocol prevents endpoint access","Stale data returned if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or no recent trades"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is especially useful when you want market-implied probabilities (rather than model-based forecasts) and whale sentiment as a signal. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when the question has a binary Yes/No resolution and you want financially-backed consensus odds.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:12.447Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}