{"uid":"cap_ecLGHj7Js63k31wvkC8EW","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-65e39a0d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_K-tpjcGu_wdjDAN2d83wv","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? I want the current orderbook sentiment and whale activity too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the current implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Crypto milestone market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about Bitcoin reaching $150k this year? Give me the implied probability, 24h volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk assessment","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for the probability of a US-China military conflict in the South China Sea this year — I need the current odds and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI event markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Stale or unavailable orderbook data if Polymarket API is temporarily down or rate-limited","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets, returning mixed or averaged data","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Malformed or too-short topic string triggering schema validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events and want market-implied odds rather than analyst forecasts. It is ideal for agents performing risk assessment, trading signal generation, or event-driven decision making that benefits from decentralized prediction market data and whale sentiment. Prefer this over news APIs when you need quantified probability rather than qualitative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:55.672Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}