{"uid":"cap_eZjNxVv87CGI62dmLR2_H","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2c0b2579","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_63EcapgbBJXSNyOjOyhXz","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin ETF approval, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability of a US recession in 2025 — I want the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto market prediction lookup","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum hitting $10k this year? Give me the orderbook probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"AI event forecast monitoring","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market odds for GPT-5 launching before the end of 2025, including implied probability and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for markets matching the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is throttled or temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or mismatched results","Payment failure via x402 protocol prevents access to the endpoint","Network timeout or upstream Polymarket API downtime"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket orderbooks, especially when you want whale sentiment and volume signals alongside raw odds. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:20:37.280Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}