{"uid":"cap_eVAItK5pkdt-10BWuXh6D","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2bbe448f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WwVAzmv8RHPCZdr40Q96d","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in Q3 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $5,000 before the end of this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied probabilities for whether the US enters a recession in 2025 — I want volume and sentiment too."},{"title":"AI regulation event tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for a major AI regulation bill passing in the US this year? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and recent whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for matched prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API rate limit or downtime causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 credit is not provisioned","Very low-liquidity markets may have unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, on-chain prediction market consensus odds for macro, crypto, or AI events directly from Polymarket's orderbook, including volume and whale sentiment — rather than polling social media or news sentiment, which lack probabilistic pricing. Prefer this over generic news APIs when you need a quantified probability estimate backed by real money.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:29.625Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}