{"uid":"cap_eNbHIa6rfsl2hnXCekqQy","slug":"x402-factory-opec-production-cut-probability-evergreen-bcb23fbb","name":"x402-factory OPEC+ Production Cut Probability (Evergreen)","description":"Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.","url":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/opec-cut-next-meeting","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"slug":"opec-production-cut-2026-08","topic":"opec-cut-next-meeting","category":"economics","question":"Will OPEC+ announce a production cut at its August 2026 meeting?","per_venue":[{"venue":"polymarket","implied_p":0.2443,"market_id":"opec-production-cut-2026-08","volume_24h_usd":72447.95,"liquidity_score":0.858}],"divergence":0,"probability":0.2443,"current_slug":"opec-production-cut-2026-08","last_move_1h":-0.0058,"topic_question":"Will OPEC+ cut production at its next meeting?","resolution_date":"2026-08-03","rolls_to_next_at":"2026-08-03","resolution_criteria_summary":"Resolves YES on an announced reduction to collective production targets."},"meta":{"docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.opec-cut-next-meeting","sources":["kalshi","polymarket"],"version":"1.0.0","endpoint":"/v1/evergreen/opec-cut-next-meeting","data_mode":"live","freshness":"realtime","request_id":"req_00000000","generated_at":"2026-08-21T03:58:58.094Z"}}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.02","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.02/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_GdMMuIFIh1lpm19d-vbuq","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.02","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns real-time prediction-market probability that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at its next scheduled meeting, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current prediction market probability that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at their next meeting, and has it moved in the last hour?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Energy trader pre-meeting briefing","prompt":"What are prediction markets currently pricing in for an OPEC+ production cut at the next meeting, and how much has the probability shifted in the last hour?"},{"title":"Macro hedge fund signal monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket and Kalshi implied probability that OPEC cuts at its next meeting — I want the volume, liquidity score, and any recent move so I can size my energy position."},{"title":"AI agent commodity research report","prompt":"For my weekly commodities report, what is the market-implied probability of an OPEC+ production cut at the next meeting, when does the market resolve, and what are the resolution criteria?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object with the aggregated prediction-market probability (0–1) that OPEC+ will announce a production cut at its next meeting, including per-venue breakdown (Polymarket, Kalshi) with implied probability, 24h volume, and liquidity score; 1-hour price move; divergence across venues; resolution date; rolling slug for the current contract; and a plain-English resolution criteria summary. Metadata includes data freshness (realtime), sources, and a link to full docs.","failureModes":["HTTP 402 returned when no X-PAYMENT header is present — agent must retry with USDC payment on Base","Market not yet available for next meeting if OPEC schedule is unclear — stale slug or empty per_venue array","Low liquidity_score if market has thin order books close to resolution","Network timeout if upstream Polymarket/Kalshi APIs are slow","Probability may lag brief news events by minutes due to aggregation latency"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need a single, normalized, real-time market-implied probability for OPEC+ production cut decisions, sourced from multiple prediction markets (Polymarket + Kalshi) with liquidity and volume metadata. Prefer this over manually querying Polymarket or Kalshi directly when you want aggregated divergence signals and an always-current evergreen slug that auto-rolls to the next meeting. Best for energy trading signals, macro research, and agent workflows that need a machine-readable probability without scraping prediction market UIs.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T01:06:10.076Z","isFirstParty":false}