{"uid":"cap_e21i_B1cpz-ZkM70FX4yI","slug":"hergert-synthora-prediction-market-probability-oracle-cb6709a0","name":"HERGERT SYNTHORA Prediction Market Probability Oracle","description":"Malla de agentes autónomos sobre infraestructura, modelos de lenguaje y APIs propias. Inteligencia y estudios de mercado operados por la red. Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, España.","url":"https://api.hergertsynthora.com/v1/prediction?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"input":{"type":"string","description":"Prediction Market Probability Oracle — real Polymarket odds (p_yes/p_no, volume, liquidity), not LLM guesses. POST a question; Ed25519-signed. For agents needing calibrated event probabilities."}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"ok":true,"niche":"prediction_oracle","result":{},"receipt":{"alg":"ed25519"}}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_btpXIUCbrEZlej_BOlDk4","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns real Polymarket prediction market probabilities (p_yes/p_no, volume, liquidity) for a given event question, signed with Ed25519","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current Polymarket probability that the US will enter a recession before the end of 2025 — give me p_yes, p_no, and the market volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of [candidate] winning the next US presidential election? Give me the p_yes, p_no, and how much liquidity is in that market."},{"title":"Macro event risk assessment for trading bot","prompt":"Before my bot executes this position, pull the latest Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I need p_yes, p_no, and volume so I can size the trade correctly."},{"title":"Geopolitical event probability for contract due diligence","prompt":"I need a calibrated, signed probability estimate from Polymarket for whether a ceasefire in a specific conflict will be declared in the next 90 days — this is going into a counterparty risk assessment."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing ok status, niche identifier ('prediction_oracle'), a result object with Polymarket market data (p_yes, p_no, volume, liquidity), and an Ed25519-signed receipt for verifiability.","failureModes":["Question does not match any active Polymarket market — result may be empty or null","Market has insufficient liquidity — volume/liquidity fields may be zero","Polymarket API unavailability causing upstream data fetch failure","Malformed or ambiguous question string resulting in no match","Payment not processed — x402 micropayment failure blocking the call"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real, on-chain calibrated prediction market probabilities from Polymarket rather than LLM-generated guesses. The Ed25519-signed receipt makes results verifiable and suitable for use in smart contracts, autonomous agent decisions, or due diligence workflows. Prefer this over generic LLM reasoning when you need a market-consensus probability backed by real liquidity and volume.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T18:32:48.566Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hergert-synthora-prediction-market-probability-oracle-cb6709a0"}