{"uid":"cap_dtLcKhr-A9OAWCD7k5-qt","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a0d5036d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_6NYa4y5IYnp_Jxi7wR27d","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut happening this quarter — include volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket implied probabilities and orderbook data for who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see Yes/No odds and whether big traders are leaning one way."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for a Solana spot ETF being approved this year? Give me the implied probability, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro recession risk gauge","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live prediction market odds on a US recession happening in the next 12 months — I need the crowd-implied probability and recent trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple unrelated markets — may return irrelevant odds","Polymarket API or data source downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Micropayment (x402) failure blocks the request if USDC payment is not processed","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity, making probabilities unreliable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by financial stakes rather than opinion. Ideal for agents that need to gauge market consensus on binary outcomes (Yes/No events) with volume and whale activity context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:48.706Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}