{"uid":"cap_dSTY1OgYk0J2l79Xici5N","slug":"econsignalpulse-recession-signals-136cc3ab","name":"EconSignalPulse Recession Signals","description":"Multi-indicator recession probability for any country — PMI, yield curve, credit spreads, GDP trajectory and IMF forecasts. 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Pull recession probability scores for the US, Germany, and Japan so I can adjust my duration positioning."},{"title":"Emerging market macro surveillance","prompt":"Monitor recession signals for our emerging market funds. Show me how PMI, credit spreads, and GDP trajectories are trending in Brazil, India, and Mexico compared to their IMF forecasts."},{"title":"Sovereign credit analysis for underwriting","prompt":"We're considering a loan to the UK government. Give me a comprehensive recession risk assessment combining yield curve inversions, credit spreads, and growth forecasts so we can price the credit risk appropriately."}],"resultDescription":"A structured recession probability assessment for the requested country, incorporating PMI readings, yield curve shape and inversion signals, credit spreads, GDP growth trajectory, and IMF forward projections — aggregated into an overall recession risk score with individual indicator breakdowns.","failureModes":["Unsupported or unrecognized country code returns an error or empty result","Data unavailable for frontier markets with sparse official statistics","IMF or World Bank data lag may reduce signal freshness for recent quarters","Rate limiting or payment failure (x402) if USDC payment is not properly attached","Partial data: some indicators may be missing for certain countries, reducing composite score confidence"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a synthesized, multi-factor recession probability for a specific country rather than a single indicator. Ideal for macro research agents, cross-asset portfolio risk tools, and sovereign analysis workflows where combining PMI, yield curve, credit spreads, GDP trajectory, and IMF forecasts into one score saves significant aggregation work.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-13T18:30:52.476Z","isFirstParty":false}