{"uid":"cap_d3J_L_NtmopvsTjJlvvfR","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-191020a0","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LygsoQ6WK0waHIqfJqrd4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — show me the Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now — what's the implied probability that Bitcoin crosses $150k before end of year? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Political outcome market sentiment","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the next Fed rate cut happening in Q1? I want the implied probabilities and any big whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for any questions about AI regulation or the EU AI Act — what are traders saying the odds are?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Stale orderbook data if Polymarket API is delayed or rate-limited","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple unrelated markets","Payment failure or 402 rejection if USDC balance is insufficient","Network timeout if Polymarket data feed is temporarily unavailable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than model-generated forecasts, and when whale sentiment and volume context matter for decision-making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:27.766Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}