{"uid":"cap_d0eYh7Th7x-j7HY9ZLVX2","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-70419214","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FmavJIgMARcofiR65LSKy","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening this year — and is there any big whale activity in that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me the implied probability of the Fed cutting interest rates before the end of this year, including volume and any notable whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory outcome odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on a spot Bitcoin ETF getting approved in the next 6 months? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market check","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket prediction market odds for whether the EU AI Act will be fully enforced by the end of 2025 — I want to see what traders are pricing in."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, current market odds, 24h trading volume, and whale/large-order sentiment signals for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic query too vague to match a specific market — may return multiple or unrelated markets","Polymarket API or data feed unavailable — upstream timeout or outage","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — USDC payment via x402 not completed","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or market has closed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live prediction markets, including orderbook depth and whale activity. Prefer this over news APIs or sentiment tools when you want financially-incentivized market consensus rather than opinion or media coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:15.001Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}