{"uid":"cap_cilKEQhy4cq4mEJdd0qrL","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-2656bd43","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_j-EIXyiLgJRxT4MTmGXPv","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for 'Will the Fed cut rates in Q3 2025?' — include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of Bitcoin hitting $150k before the end of 2025? Give me the implied Yes probability and any notable volume or whale activity."},{"title":"Election outcome market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the next US presidential election — I want to see the implied probabilities for each candidate and how much volume is behind those markets."},{"title":"Macro policy sentiment monitoring","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed raises interest rates before December 2025? I want to track market sentiment on monetary policy."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or low-confidence result","Upstream Polymarket API unavailability causing stale or missing data","Overly broad or ambiguous topic query returning multiple unrelated markets","Payment failure via x402 protocol preventing access to the endpoint"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want Polymarket-specific orderbook depth and whale sentiment, not just headline odds from a news aggregator.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:08.693Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}