{"uid":"cap_c__Y6nZc2ntO-v_4W_o_k","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-69aacf3b","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_zC9Za61aG4hK6bO4NLry2","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting interest rates this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently give as the implied probability of a US recession happening in 2025? Show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto milestone market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 before end of year — I want the implied Yes probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major tech fine this year? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and sentiment data."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating how large traders are positioned on the market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return the wrong market or require refinement","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API or orderbook feed is temporarily unavailable","Payment failure via x402 micropayment protocol preventing the call from completing","Rate limiting if the endpoint is queried too frequently"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money at stake on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by financial incentives. Best for agents that need live prediction market odds without direct Polymarket API integration.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:25.989Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}