{"uid":"cap_cT8SJjPqVBVA_Z3k1Y8mv","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-838ffde4","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_1Zazuaxa_eHB7dfJQgTgC","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a US recession in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $100K by end of 2025 — I want to see the implied probability, order book depth, and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed interest rate cut in September 2025? Give me the Yes/No odds and recent volume."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around AI regulation or the EU AI Act passing this year — I want the current implied probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant prediction market events.","failureModes":["No active Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or no-match result","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most relevant or require refinement","Network or upstream Polymarket API outage — endpoint may return error or stale data","Payment failure via x402 protocol — request not processed if USDC payment not authorized"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events, particularly when you want orderbook depth and whale sentiment in addition to simple odds. Prefer this over news APIs or LLM-based estimates when you need market-derived, financially-staked probabilities rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:34.821Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}