{"uid":"cap_cO7xTLZ7E15g_8gENbq2g","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-fa55b474","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_r6dDD9IWQ75QpKZuLNDDJ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval happening this quarter — including volume and what the whales are betting on?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum reaches $5,000 before year end? Show me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for a US Federal Reserve rate cut happening at the next FOMC meeting — I want to see the orderbook sentiment and whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone market odds","prompt":"What are prediction market traders saying about AGI or superintelligence being achieved by 2026? Get me the live Polymarket probabilities and volume on that topic."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including the implied Yes and No probabilities, orderbook snapshot, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence result","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return wrong market data","Polymarket API outage or rate limiting causes stale or unavailable data","Highly niche or very new event not yet listed on Polymarket — no market exists","Payment failure via x402 micro-payment protocol prevents call completion"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want to understand market-implied odds, trading volume, and whale positioning rather than analyst forecasts or news sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:19:43.864Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}