{"uid":"cap_cMWH0rioZwCG2FKyF6obX","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-73615701","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_aoUV6PB7is7IDwwiS08Gq","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Ethereum flipping Bitcoin in market cap? Give me the Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro policy market odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds on the Fed cutting interest rates in September — what's the implied probability and how much volume is trading on it?"},{"title":"AI regulation event forecasting","prompt":"What are Polymarket traders currently pricing in for the US passing an AI regulation bill this year? I want the implied Yes probability and any notable orderbook activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity in the market.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return the most popular or an unexpected market","Polymarket API upstream outage — endpoint returns 503 or error payload","Payment failure via x402 — returns HTTP 402 if USDC payment is not settled","Rate limiting — returns 429 if too many calls in short succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-wisdom probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. It is the right choice when you want implied probabilities backed by real financial stakes rather than sentiment surveys or news headlines. Prefer this over general news search when you need a single quantified probability or orderbook-level market depth for a specific event outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:32:09.618Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}