{"uid":"cap_cGz2qt4KNl4qZ0Jd6BmdH","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2ea6c5df","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_IgePRy10dYQYaQXLWh8i4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — and is there any whale accumulation signal?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds for the 2025 US midterm elections — I want to see the implied Yes/No probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event sentiment before trade","prompt":"Before I place this trade, check Polymarket's current orderbook and whale sentiment on 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k in 2025?' — give me the implied probabilities."},{"title":"Macro event prediction monitoring","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on a US recession being declared before the end of 2025? Show me the implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating whether large traders are accumulating Yes or No positions.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or returns no matching Polymarket market — response may be empty or return closest match","Market not yet created on Polymarket for the queried event — returns no results","Rate limiting or payment failure ($0.01 per call via x402) — returns 402 Payment Required","Polymarket API downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer it over news or social sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, and over static data sources when you need live orderbook depth and whale accumulation signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:32:45.499Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}