{"uid":"cap_cCq4qWvNfvWBbODRFEP48","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8f0b2ee5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_X7qLyl7KXGbTJLzIBOyrh","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025? I want to see the current volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum ETF approval — I want to see the current Yes/No implied probabilities and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Macro event prediction market monitoring","prompt":"What are Polymarket traders currently pricing in for a US Federal Reserve rate cut in Q1 2025? Give me the implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy event odds lookup","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market odds for any major AI regulation or governance bill passing in the US this year — what's the current Yes probability and whale sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Rate limiting or payment failure if x402 micropayment is not properly handled","Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific future events — especially macro, crypto, or AI-related outcomes — and want orderbook-level detail including volume and whale positioning. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want a financial market's implied probability rather than qualitative opinion, and over static odds providers when you need live Polymarket-specific data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:09.442Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}