{"uid":"cap_bzSkoikJ_bInAmSwW3HZL","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_7DVEunbh2JQFS-a3qicNQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025?' — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100k before end of year — give me the Yes/No implied odds and any whale sentiment signals?"},{"title":"Election outcome market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds and orderbook data for the 2025 US presidential election — I want to see current implied probabilities and recent volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major model ban in 2025? Show me the implied probability and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes and No probabilities for the queried event, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators — giving a real-time snapshot of collective market belief around the specified topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague to match a specific market — may return multiple or irrelevant markets","Polymarket API upstream unavailable — may return 502 or timeout error","Payment failure via x402 protocol — returns 402 Payment Required if USDC micropayment not settled","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion — returns 429 Too Many Requests"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer it over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and whale orderflow. Ideal for trading bots, research agents, or decision-support systems that need live event probability data rather than static analysis.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:30:06.002Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}