{"uid":"cap_bx9Qe-6Rlr9WUre3iTUGG","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-c2d7ec1b","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WUsRSySV35iOULLFF3y6g","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2026 US midterm elections — show me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity?"},{"title":"Crypto price target bet tracking","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum hitting $10k this year, including trading volume and what big wallets are leaning toward."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing in 2025 — give me the orderbook odds and sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale (large trader) sentiment indicators for the matched market event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the queried topic — returns empty or null result","Topic keyword too vague to match a specific Polymarket market — returns multiple ambiguous matches or no data","Payment failure via x402 — HTTP 402 response if USDC micropayment is not processed","Polymarket API or data feed downtime — stale or unavailable data returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — HTTP 429 or similar error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for discrete future events — especially in crypto, macro, politics, or AI domains — rather than traditional financial data APIs. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than analyst forecasts, or when you specifically need Polymarket orderbook depth and whale sentiment rather than aggregated prediction market indices.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:24.189Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}