{"uid":"cap_btwPXIXSgCLNEYPv-7W83","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-90b6aa45","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Csa4MNa5NB-QQVYQR1mrC","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for Bitcoin hitting $150k this year — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and what the whales are betting on?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the Yes/No odds and recent volume to see which way traders are leaning."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval sentiment check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket orderbook for an Ethereum spot ETF approval — what's the implied Yes probability and are whale traders bullish or bearish on it passing?"},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of a Federal Reserve rate cut in Q3? Give me the implied probability, volume, and overall market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook data, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators showing how large traders are positioned on the event outcome.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous returns no matching market or incorrect market","Polymarket market not found for niche or very new events returns empty or null results","Network or upstream Polymarket API downtime causes stale or failed data fetch","Misspelled topic keyword fails to match any active market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's orderbook. Prefer this over static news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and whale positioning data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:27.051Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}