{"uid":"cap_bQHfppaLjdGLhsisrr1Rl","slug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-05236262","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"unknown","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":null,"per":"call","confidence":"unknown"},{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_O0uzDyW1bsweDPTLZ_cPv","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null},{"uid":"pm_6HCIv50hzrTphBi_bzEfq","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a Fed rate cut happening this quarter, including volume and any notable whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for whether the US will enter a recession this year — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory odds monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a spot Bitcoin ETF approval being reversed? Give me the live orderbook-implied odds and recent sentiment."},{"title":"AI event prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active markets around AI regulation or AGI timelines — I want the implied probabilities and how much volume is trading on those markets."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried macro, crypto, or AI event markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — returns 5xx or timeout","Ambiguous topic query with multiple matching markets — may return unexpected market","Payment not processed — returns 402 Payment Required"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets, especially when you want orderbook-derived implied probabilities rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-20T12:48:16.081Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}