{"uid":"cap_b8P1rKXTa5Qp1KTBLFSm2","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-75a77e4e","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_M-x0fvAXafs3YrG7Lo4HG","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities, current volume, and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k before the end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the live implied probabilities and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any active markets around a US recession in 2025 — I want the Yes probability, volume, and whether big traders are leaning Yes or No."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant prediction market contracts.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — response may return empty or null market data","Polymarket API rate limits or downtime may cause delayed or failed data retrieval","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — response may return multiple or mismatched contracts","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Stale orderbook data if Polymarket liquidity is very low for the queried market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, real-time prediction market probabilities from Polymarket specifically — particularly for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related events. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need crowd-sourced, financially-backed probability estimates rather than editorial opinion. Best when the user wants quantified Yes/No odds, trading volume context, or whale-level positioning data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:10.116Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}