{"uid":"cap_awVnv0cKj3eczk-FiAXB6","slug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-c65d18a6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_KX-bYyCd-i9UoQGmJRkWR","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://cve-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic keyword or event question","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Bitcoin ETF approval' right now, including trading volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession in 2025 — show me the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket implied probability for Ethereum hitting $5,000 this year, and tell me what the orderbook volume looks like."},{"title":"AI policy event sentiment","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that a major AI regulation bill passes in the US this year? I want to see the implied probabilities and market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, and AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic query matching multiple markets — may return unexpected or mixed results","Polymarket data feed temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402","Rate limiting or timeout on live orderbook fetch — may return incomplete data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, or AI events. Prefer it over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money. Best suited for agents that need quantitative Yes/No probability signals and volume/whale sentiment for event-driven decision making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-22T07:49:47.697Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"cve-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-831312e1"}