{"uid":"cap_aukpkVqXEIuv3VeFA22EI","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-3d1dfc4a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_bLlvGkD2IiKAUoKBwxJ0O","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k this year — I want to see the live orderbook sentiment and any whale activity around that market.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket probability that Ethereum breaks $5,000 before the end of this year? Show me the implied Yes odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"What are prediction market bettors currently pricing in for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the Polymarket implied probability."},{"title":"AI milestone crowd forecast","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket crowd-sourced probability that a major AI lab announces AGI by end of 2025? I want the latest orderbook odds and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the queried event or market question","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return incorrect or blended data","Polymarket API downstream outage causes stale or unavailable data","Payment failure via x402 protocol prevents request from completing","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's live orderbooks for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want market-implied odds (not sentiment analysis or news summaries) and whale activity signals. Prefer this over social sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability percentages backed by real money bets.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:44:46.896Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}