{"uid":"cap_aVIkBlhWK6Mq5CN7wKmNB","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-605df1cc","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_qaqS0fmu7l2duc7OoA2Ln","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the FOMC rate decision this month — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting? I want the Yes/No odds and volume data."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $100K by end of year — show me the orderbook-implied probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction odds","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting on for the likelihood of new US AI regulation passing this quarter? Give me the implied probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or low-liquidity market returned if the topic is obscure or market is inactive","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — result may reflect the wrong event","Payment failure via x402 results in 402 response and no data returned","Service unavailability or upstream Polymarket API downtime causes timeout or 5xx error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro events (Fed decisions, elections), crypto milestones, or AI/tech regulatory events. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-priced probabilities backed by real money. It is especially useful for agents that need a live probability signal rather than a qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:16.848Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}