{"uid":"cap_aRPgFJDX7EcVH-9KiF8mQ","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7d2eda65","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_U2c_A7F05AfsZEXMZxpWS","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k this year — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of Trump winning the presidency? Give me the Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale sentiment you can see."},{"title":"Crypto event market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for Ethereum ETF approval — I want the implied Yes probability, current trading volume, and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"What are prediction market traders betting on for the next Fed rate cut? Get me the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for a cut happening in Q1."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, AI, or political events.","failureModes":["Topic query too vague or unrecognized — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or error response","Polymarket API upstream outage or rate limit — may return stale or failed data","Micropayment failure — x402 payment not processed, request blocked","Market may be resolved/closed — odds may reflect final settled state rather than live trading","Ambiguous topic keyword matching wrong market — returns odds for unintended event"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro events, elections, crypto, or AI policy outcomes — especially when you want implied probabilities backed by real money and whale orderflow, rather than news sentiment or model forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:46:30.645Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}