{"uid":"cap_a9RlHpg-m0j4zB39kP7k5","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Q1OhIYH2aZw3IWQBMpiSa","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently give as the probability of Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of 2025? Show me orderbook depth and whale sentiment too."},{"title":"AI regulation policy forecasting","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets around AI regulation or an AI safety bill passing in the US — I need the live implied probabilities and recent trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Stale or unavailable Polymarket data if upstream API is down — may return cached or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first-matching market","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient — returns 402 Payment Required","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion — returns 429 Too Many Requests"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced specifically from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. It is ideal for agents that need market-implied probabilities rather than model-generated forecasts, or when whale sentiment and actual trading volume are required to gauge conviction. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when quantitative probability data is needed for decision-making or display.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:58.661Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}