{"uid":"cap_a43UlVIh7S2kFv3L8AX0n","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-1052a631","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ZaZU6yEOaGyvzg2uJaOdT","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 this year — including current volume and what the whales are betting on?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for Ethereum hitting $5,000 before the end of the year, and tell me what the current trading volume and whale sentiment look like."},{"title":"Political event probability lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Show me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"AI milestone market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the probability of GPT-5 or a new frontier AI model being released in the next 6 months — I want the implied odds, volume, and sentiment from big traders."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader behavior for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data","Topic query too vague to match a specific market — multiple ambiguous results returned","Polymarket API or orderbook unavailable — upstream data fetch fails","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment not completed before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded on the agentdiet.dev hub — request throttled"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets. It is especially valuable for gauging market sentiment beyond price charts — capturing implied probabilities and whale behavior that traditional data sources don't provide. Prefer it over general web search when you want structured, quantitative probability data rather than qualitative news articles.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:46.333Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}