{"uid":"cap__brWBaqcHBX5BUAPI4vAs","slug":"x402-factory-major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year-live-3b5f2199","name":"x402-factory: Major AI Regulation Federal Law This Year — Live Prediction Market Probability","description":"Paid data APIs for AI agents: prediction-market analytics, weather intelligence, weather×market edge signals, and SEC/gov data. Paid endpoints use the x402 protocol (HTTP 402 + USDC on Base): call without payment to receive requirements, retry with an X-PAYMENT header. Machine-readable catalog: /llms.txt. Per-endpoint docs: /docs/{id}.","url":"https://x402-factory.com/v1/evergreen/major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"slug":"federal-ai-regulation-law-2026","topic":"major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year","category":"science-tech","question":"Will major federal AI regulation become law in 2026?","per_venue":[{"venue":"kalshi","implied_p":0.136,"market_id":"KXFEDERALAIREGUL","volume_24h_usd":27132.14,"liquidity_score":0.855},{"venue":"polymarket","implied_p":0.1092,"market_id":"federal-ai-regulation-law-2026","volume_24h_usd":39500.19,"liquidity_score":0.86}],"divergence":0.0268,"probability":0.1221,"current_slug":"federal-ai-regulation-law-2026","last_move_1h":-0.0038,"topic_question":"Will major federal AI regulation become law this year?","resolution_date":"2026-12-31","rolls_to_next_at":"2026-12-31","resolution_criteria_summary":"Resolves YES if a comprehensive federal AI bill is signed into law during 2026."},"meta":{"docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.evergreen.major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year","sources":["kalshi","polymarket"],"version":"1.0.0","endpoint":"/v1/evergreen/major-ai-regulation-federal-law-this-year","data_mode":"live","freshness":"realtime","request_id":"req_00000000","generated_at":"2026-08-21T03:58:58.090Z"}}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.02","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.02/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LK3RFwu_weIveyB-mZ7Fx","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.02","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns live aggregated prediction-market probability for whether major federal AI regulation will become law in the current year, with per-venue breakdowns from Kalshi and Polymarket.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current prediction market odds that major federal AI regulation will become law this year — give me the aggregated probability and the Kalshi vs Polymarket breakdown?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Policy risk briefing for AI startup","prompt":"What's the current probability that major federal AI regulation passes this year? I want to know the consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket, and whether the two markets are diverging significantly."},{"title":"Monitor hourly shifts in AI regulation odds","prompt":"Has the prediction market probability for federal AI regulation becoming law moved in the last hour? I want to track any meaningful shifts."},{"title":"Legislative risk signal for portfolio analysis","prompt":"Pull the latest implied probability that the US passes major AI legislation in 2026, including the 24-hour volume and liquidity scores from each venue, so I can assess regulatory risk exposure."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object with the aggregated implied probability across Kalshi and Polymarket, per-venue breakdowns (implied_p, market_id, 24h volume in USD, liquidity score), the divergence between venues, the last 1-hour price move, the topic question, resolution date, resolution criteria summary, and metadata including data freshness and request ID.","failureModes":["402 Payment Required — call without X-PAYMENT header returns payment requirements in JSON, must retry with valid USDC payment on Base","Market data unavailable if upstream Kalshi/Polymarket feeds are delayed or down","Stale data if real-time feed is interrupted (check generated_at in meta)","Malformed payment header results in payment rejection","No schema input parameters — endpoint is fixed and takes no query parameters"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a real-time, aggregated, multi-venue prediction-market probability specifically for major federal AI regulation becoming law in the current year. Prefer this over manually querying Kalshi or Polymarket separately when you want normalized cross-venue divergence and liquidity scores in a single call. Best for AI policy monitoring, regulatory risk assessment, and legislative forecasting workflows that require machine-readable, paid-tier data freshness.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T12:50:00.356Z","isFirstParty":false}