{"uid":"cap__TY86lOeyWBiRhjholVux","slug":"econsignalpulse-divergence-analysis-dfe38a9f","name":"EconSignalPulse Divergence Analysis","description":"Gap analysis between official statistics and alternative data (satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, electricity, flights) — flags statistical manipulation and structural shifts. For sovereign-debt and FX agents.","url":"https://econsignalpulse.theaslangroupllc.com/api/econsignal/divergence","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET","HEAD","DELETE"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{"iso2":{"type":"string","description":"ISO2 code for World Bank data"},"iso3":{"type":"string","description":"ISO3 code for IMF data"},"lang":{"type":"string","description":"en | es | fr | de | ja | zh | ko | pt | ar | hi (default: en)"},"country":{"type":"string","description":"Country to analyze — e.g. \"China\" | \"Russia\" | \"Iran\" | \"Venezuela\" | \"Belarus\""}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"errors":{"type":"object","description":"Documented error responses, keyed by HTTP status code","additionalProperties":{"type":"object","required":["description"],"properties":{"example":{"type":"object"},"description":{"type":"string"}}}},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"query_summary":{"iso2":"RU","iso3":"RUS","country":"Russia","analysis_date":"2026-06-07"},"official_claims":{"source":"Rosstat (Russian Federal Statistics Service)","inflation_pct":7.4,"unemployment_pct":2.9,"gdp_growth_2023_pct":3.6,"gdp_growth_2024_pct":3.9},"alternative_signals":{"shipping_ais":"Baltic and Black Sea exports declined 40% by volume post-sanctions; Asian routing up 180%","google_mobility":"Retail/recreation +8% above baseline; workplace mobility elevated (full employment in defense sector)","nightlights_trend":"European Russia stable; Urals/Siberia industrial corridor showing elevated activity (defense production)","electricity_consumption":"+3.2% YoY — broadly consistent with claimed GDP growth","satellite_urban_activity":"Moscow construction activity elevated; regional cities mixed"},"divergence_assessment":{"verdict":"Partial divergence — GDP growth plausible but composition distorted; defense sector masks civilian economy weakness","confidence":"Medium-Low","credibility_max":100,"key_distortions":["Defense spending 7.1% of GDP in 2024 — government demand masking private sector contraction","Labor market tightness is real but reflects conscription losses, not economic health","Inflation likely 12-18% vs official 7.4% — price controls and basket manipulation documented"],"credibility_score":45},"investor_implications":"Russia GDP figures are technically accurate but deeply misleading as an investment signal. The civilian economy ex-defense has contracted. Sanctions burden is accumulating, not receding."}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.2","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.2/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.2","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.2","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_WiERPWQDjTofI1uhc4jh0","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.2","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Performs gap analysis between official economic statistics and alternative data sources (satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, electricity consumption, flight data) to flag statistical manipulation and structural economic shifts.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Can you run a divergence check on Argentina's official GDP and inflation statistics against satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, and electricity signals for the past 12 months — I want to know if there's evidence of statistical manipulation or a structural shift that the official numbers are hiding?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Verify emerging market sovereign credit quality","prompt":"Check if Vietnam's reported export growth over the last two years matches what we see in actual shipping traffic and nighttime lights activity — I need to know if their economic data is reliable before we increase our emerging-market bond exposure."},{"title":"Detect hidden economic stress in sanctioned economies","prompt":"Run a gap analysis on Iran's official oil production and GDP figures against satellite imagery and electricity consumption data for the past six months — I'm looking for signs of economic deterioration that they might not be publicly disclosing."},{"title":"Flag currency crisis warning signs early","prompt":"Can you compare Turkey's reported employment and industrial activity stats against nightlight intensity, flight data, and electricity usage for the last quarter? I want to spot if there's a real economic slowdown that their official numbers aren't reflecting yet."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured gap analysis report comparing official economic statistics against alternative data sources (VIIRS satellite nightlights, shipping AIS, electricity consumption, flight data) for the requested country and period, including divergence scores, manipulation flags, and indicators of structural economic shifts — designed for sovereign-debt and FX risk assessment.","failureModes":["Country not covered or insufficient alternative data available — returns empty or partial result","Time period too recent for satellite/AIS data to be aggregated — returns stale or incomplete signals","Invalid country code or unsupported region — returns 400 error","Alternative data pipeline outage (satellite or AIS feed down) — returns 503 or degraded signal warning","Payment not processed or x402 authentication failure — returns 402 Payment Required"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need to cross-validate official economic statistics against hard-to-falsify alternative data signals for sovereign credit, FX, or geopolitical risk analysis. Prefer it over standard macro endpoints when official data credibility is in question, especially for frontier markets, sanctioned economies, or countries with a history of statistical manipulation.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T06:41:56.150Z","isFirstParty":false}