{"uid":"cap__N181grxQS5DJmVizjQmA","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a78a0983","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_txxPK-_EBILM1oma2vT33","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025? Include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price target probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of Ethereum hitting $10k this year — give me the implied Yes probability, volume, and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"US election prediction market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for the 2026 US midterm elections and tell me which outcomes the market currently favors most."},{"title":"Fed rate cut macro sentiment","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting? I want to know what the prediction markets are pricing in right now."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating how large traders are positioned on the outcome.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily delayed or rate-limited","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first match","Payment required error (HTTP 402) if USDC micropayment via x402 is not properly configured","Network timeout if Polymarket orderbook endpoint is slow to respond"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer this over traditional news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money, orderbook depth, and whale positioning data rather than sentiment scores or analyst forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:19:16.772Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}