{"uid":"cap__M36l4TdRQdwpeyY4DfoK","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2285d281","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_mkr0foKaZABpruIBRamm_","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin hitting $100k before the end of the year — including volume and what whale traders are positioning?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of Ethereum flipping Bitcoin in market cap? I want the implied Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Macro recession prediction market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the US enters a recession in 2025 — give me the implied probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation policy market odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds that a major AI regulation bill passes in the US this year? I want Yes and No probabilities and any big-money positioning."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity on the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — may return empty or low-confidence results","Topic too vague or ambiguous leading to mismatched market selection","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or missing data","Payment failure via x402 resulting in 402 response without data","Rate limiting if called at high frequency"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's active orderbooks. It is preferable over news sentiment APIs when you want financially-backed implied probabilities rather than qualitative sentiment, and over static data sources when you need live, up-to-the-minute market odds and whale positioning data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:23.612Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}