{"uid":"cap__JSI23jpywgZP9HQ5Uzf2","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7b50364c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_V9N_Y8rS6yt20cbfCIO1L","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for the US entering a recession in 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $5,000 before the end of the year? Show me the Yes/No odds and recent trading volume."},{"title":"Political election market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the implied probabilities and any big whale positioning."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and overall market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities, orderbook snapshots, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic.","failureModes":["Topic too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket market not yet created for a very recent or niche event — no data returned","Network or upstream Polymarket API downtime — service unavailable error","Payment not processed (x402) — request blocked before reaching the oracle","Rate limiting if too many calls made in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want implied odds, orderbook depth, volume, and whale sentiment in a single call rather than scraping Polymarket directly or using stale data sources.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:03.123Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}