{"uid":"cap__4iAvwB8R3ev__CDImiUn","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5792df72","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_dbvJQPkr_2naA3-ZrtBWx","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025 — including current volume and whether whale traders are leaning yes or no?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Democratic candidate winning the 2026 midterms — what's the Yes/No split and what's the trading volume like?"},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for a spot Solana ETF approval in 2025 — I want to know the current Yes probability, volume, and whether big players are heavily on one side."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction market","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — give me the implied probability and any whale sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (derived from orderbook prices), total trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the matched event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or require more specific query","Payment not settled (x402) — request blocked before execution","Stale orderbook data if Polymarket stream is delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for binary macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media analysis when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real financial stakes. Best suited for agents performing risk assessment, event-driven trading research, or decision support where prediction market consensus is more informative than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:32:06.452Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}