{"uid":"cap__2dJKmqOprPuGImJhv8_v","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d4d5656c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_7wyvaVogfYl_RSR9G-Jn6","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — pull the current orderbook and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for Bitcoin hitting $150,000 before the end of 2025? Give me the implied probability and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Election outcome market odds","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for the next US presidential election — I want to see the Yes/No implied probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"What are traders betting on Polymarket about the EU AI Act enforcement kicking in this year? Give me the live implied probability and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — no matching market found, empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream outage — service may return 502 or timeout","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — 402 Payment Required response","No active market exists for the queried topic — returns empty results","Malformed or missing topic parameter — 400 Bad Request"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when an agent needs real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook depth and whale sentiment alongside implied odds. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-backed probability, not editorial opinion. Best for financial agents, research tools, and any workflow where prediction market consensus is a signal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:53.616Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}