{"uid":"cap_ZX-C7ugrc4ydtZFIejwsk","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-2e32def5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Nxpr5wffjHdaecp0BH3QT","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in Q3 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of Ethereum reaching $10k before end of 2025? Show me the implied Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for a US recession happening in 2025 — I want to see the implied probabilities and how much volume is on this market."},{"title":"AI milestone market odds","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds for GPT-5 or a new frontier AI model being released before January 2026? Give me the implied Yes probability and recent sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction markets.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — empty or error response","Payment failure via x402 — endpoint returns HTTP 402 if USDC micropayment not processed","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — request throttled","Topic matches multiple markets — response may include multiple results requiring disambiguation"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. It is ideal for agents that need live implied odds and whale sentiment rather than analyst forecasts or news sentiment. Prefer this over social media sentiment tools or news APIs when quantified market-based probability is required.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:49.831Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}