{"uid":"cap_Z7oUGGcjLepbfMu3MzDkp","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-af4896f8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_tuuJhMa4vwif69DYavH0D","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the US entering a recession this year? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $5,000 before the end of the year? Show me the Yes/No odds and any big-player sentiment."},{"title":"Macro policy market odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about AGI being achieved before 2026? Give me the Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment from the orderbook."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket data feed latency or downtime causing stale or unavailable odds","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's orderbook — especially when you want not just price odds but also trading volume and whale sentiment signals. Prefer this over news or analyst sources when you want market-implied probabilities rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:36.904Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}