{"uid":"cap_YxEaSgllDHMwoe8noOyMj","slug":"financial-data-x402-prediction-market-event-30d30b98","name":"Financial Data x402 – Prediction Market Event","description":"Pay-per-call stock, macro, on-chain, and crypto data over the x402 protocol. USDC on Base or Solana, no API keys, no subscriptions.","url":"https://x402financialdata.com/prediction-market-event/%7Bslug%7D","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"slug":"next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","title":"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?","source":"polymarket","status":"active","outcomes":[{"label":"Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?","market_id":"will-abiy-ahmed-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","volume_usd":123390.75,"probability":0.9395},{"label":"Will someone else be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?","market_id":"will-someone-else-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia","volume_usd":41200.5,"probability":0.03}],"close_date":"2026-12-31T12:00:00Z","outcome_count":2}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_s8IiH38L0C4q7lj5STYG_","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live prediction market event data (outcomes, probabilities, volume) for a given slug from sources like Polymarket, paid via USDC over the x402 protocol.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and trading volume for the 'next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia' event? I want to see all the outcomes and their probabilities.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Track political election odds","prompt":"Pull up the prediction market data for the slug 'us-presidential-election-2024' — I want to see each candidate's current probability and how much volume has been traded on each outcome."},{"title":"Monitor active market status","prompt":"Is the prediction market for 'next-prime-minister-of-ethiopia' still active, and when does it close? Show me all the outcomes and their current probabilities."},{"title":"Research market sentiment on crypto event","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently think about the 'bitcoin-etf-approval-2025' event? Give me all the outcomes, their probabilities, and total USD volume traded."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object containing the event's title, source (e.g. Polymarket), status (active/resolved), a list of outcomes each with a label, market ID, USD volume, and probability, plus the event's close date and total outcome count.","failureModes":["Invalid or unknown slug returns a 404 or empty response","Payment failure if USDC balance is insufficient or x402 handshake fails","Event may have resolved, returning a non-active status with stale probabilities","Slug format mismatch (e.g. URL encoding issues with special characters)","Upstream Polymarket data unavailable or delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time prediction market probability and volume data for a specific named event (identified by its slug), paid per-call without subscriptions or API keys. It is ideal for agents that need to programmatically ingest market sentiment from Polymarket-style sources on a per-query basis using USDC micropayments over x402.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-13T06:58:02.290Z","isFirstParty":false}