{"uid":"cap_YoJ9SXArlJkptcvEWZf49","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f5f92902","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FnlhUM69Wx5IoG5WlCcUN","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025, including trading volume and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket probability right now that the SEC approves a spot Ethereum ETF this year, and is there any whale activity on that market?"},{"title":"Election outcome odds lookup","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and the total volume traded."},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently think about GPT-5 or a major AGI breakthrough being announced in 2025? Give me the implied probability and any notable sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no results","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing upstream fetch failure","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402","Stale data if orderbook feed is momentarily delayed","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — response may aggregate or return the top match"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and market sentiment for macro, crypto, or AI events, specifically sourced from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media analysis when you want financially-staked implied probabilities rather than opinion-based sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:17.908Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}