{"uid":"cap_YlG6bbJYoM8v90XHmS8Ed","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a70955ad","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_l0Vrc7itGgRFpvDaetCfP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of 2025 — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at least twice in 2025? I want the implied Yes/No odds and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for Ethereum hitting $5,000 this year — give me the implied probability, current volume, and what whale traders seem to be betting on."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket's live prediction market for any active markets on a US-China military conflict in 2025 — what are the current Yes/No probabilities and overall sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current orderbook state, trading volume, and whale-level sentiment signals for matching markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API upstream unavailable — may return 502 or timeout","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring agent disambiguation","Payment not processed or x402 auth failure — returns 402 Payment Required","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns 429 Too Many Requests"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live prediction market. Prefer this over news sentiment endpoints when you need quantified probabilistic odds backed by actual money at stake, or when you want whale/large-trader positioning data rather than media sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:32:25.421Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}