{"uid":"cap_YjtlIUoxlEM9ZpKLUdCfI","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_iDifC9V4nfUTGBWJhEBxA","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting rates this month — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of Bitcoin hitting $150k before the end of the year? I want the implied probability and any whale activity."},{"title":"US election outcome odds","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket probabilities for the next US presidential election — who does the market think will win and what's the current Yes/No split?"},{"title":"Fed rate decision sentiment","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket pricing in for the Fed's next interest rate decision — is the market leaning toward a cut or a hold?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities for the queried event, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topics.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence result","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or wrong market","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning 402 or 429 errors"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want both implied probabilities and volume/whale sentiment signals rather than just news or analyst opinions. Prefer this over news search endpoints when you need quantified market consensus probability rather than qualitative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:30:02.583Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}