{"uid":"cap_YcYv-3MwFTsULBIHJxgr1","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-b49a0ea5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_it0EzIUJ3Jc3JGYD4DnAl","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on a US recession happening in 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum gets a spot ETF approved this year? I want the Yes/No odds and recent volume."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — I need the live Yes probability and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about GPT-5 or a major frontier AI model releasing before the end of 2025? Give me the implied probabilities and market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic or market question.","failureModes":["Topic too vague or no matching Polymarket market found — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient ($0.01 per call)","Rate limiting or timeout if Polymarket orderbook data is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — result may reflect wrong market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook-level detail including whale sentiment and volume, not just headline odds. Prefer this over news search when you need quantified market consensus rather than qualitative reporting.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:34:36.855Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}