{"uid":"cap_YTdEu-9LkReCtC19XKm0I","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8a7674c1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_1jyXxpLSAwhmpOPhBssBy","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and current volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will reach $150,000 before end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Geopolitical event probability lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of a US-China trade deal being signed this year? Give me the implied probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy regulation forecasting","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets about major AI regulation passing in the US or EU — what are the current Yes/No odds and orderbook depth?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24-hour trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty result or error","Polymarket API upstream outage causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return multiple or lowest-relevance market","Payment failure via x402 prevents request from completing","Rate limiting if too many calls are made in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want implied probabilities, orderbook depth, volume, or whale sentiment rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news or financial data APIs when you need a single aggregated market-consensus probability figure for a binary outcome event.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:50:37.620Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}