{"uid":"cap_Y93AzzjbuQ0XdBzNGJIOD","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-337500a3","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_mKfkKb2xRLpdsiJ8QnK4R","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket prediction market odds for a US recession happening in 2025 — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory outcome forecasting","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a spot Bitcoin ETF getting approved this quarter? Give me the orderbook-implied odds and volume."},{"title":"AI policy market intelligence","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live odds on AI regulation passing in the US this year — I need the Yes/No implied probabilities and any large-trader sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total market volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Topic string too vague or ambiguous — may return unrelated markets or low-confidence matches","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — may return upstream error","Payment failure via x402 — returns HTTP 402 if USDC payment not processed","Stale or low-liquidity market — odds may not reflect active trading sentiment"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized orderbook. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money (skin-in-the-game), or over traditional polling/forecasting APIs when you need live, continuously updated odds. Best when the user's question maps to a specific event or binary outcome that Polymarket is likely to have a market for.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:20:50.747Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}